beating the high price of price discrimination
One other comment on living with
a bigger ad duopoly: what about personalized/surveillance pricing?
What if, even though the surveillance advertising duopoly has to keep
driving up customer acquisition costs, brands can pay for it by using ad
personalization to charge each customer what the surveillance data says
they’re willing to pay? Personalizing every step of the customer
journey
is usually about at what price a product or service is
offered. Most products and services aren’t personalized. There are some
exceptions, such as custom
guitars from Creston Electric Instruments, but for most brands,
personalization doesn’t mean they’re going to reschedule an airliner or
launch their CAD software. In practice, personalization
is a
polite expression for surveillance pricing.
Quite a bit of discussion of the surveillance pricing issue lately,
even though the FTC has taken
down the Request for Public Comment Regarding Surveillance Pricing
Practices (PDF). There’s even one argument in favor of surveillance
pricing: In
defense of ‘surveillance pricing’: Why personalized prices could be an
unexpected force for equity by Prof. Aradhna Krishna. In reality,
though, surveillance pricing is ML figuring out who has the option to
get a better alternative elsewhere, so tends to identify, for example,
shoppers
with disabilities who are often limited in where they can shop
due to mobility limitations, difficulty finding accessible
transportation, or other factors related to their disability
. When
the same or similar products are available to rich and poor shoppers,
the poor pay more for the same thing. The longer you can wait to buy,
and the more options you have, the lower the price you get.
Prof. Nikita Garg writes, in AI
is using your data to set personalised prices online. It could seriously
backfire, The challenge for business is to deploy AI pricing
ethically and transparently, in ways customers can trust.
That’s
harder than it looks. Research shows that Algorithms
Can Drive Up Prices by learning
to collude to raise prices,
even if no collusion was programmed in. People don’t have a lot of time
to learn about this stuff while shopping, so a safe assumption is that
the personalized price is somehow unfair—whether it’s because of
exploiting information that the seller knows, or collusion, or both.
But there’s one more problem, for the brand side. When making the decision to price discriminate or not, remember that anyone who is good at price discrimination is also going to be good at setting their own price. If a brand uses one of the big surveillance companies to match an ad to a high-spending consumer, the surveillance company will bid up their own ad rate to capture more and more of the difference between the price offered and the minimum price the brand would accept from a bargain-hunting customer A brand built on surveillance advertising and surveillance-enabled personalized pricing is like a popular San Francisco restaurant—when the landlord sees the restaurateur making money, they raise the rent. Jakob Nielsen’s Search Engines as Leeches on the Web applies to any auction-based advertising platform that can dynamically adjust advertising rates to capture as much as possible of the expected profits from a sale. Look carefully and you’ll spot brands trying to dig out of the CAC crunch, sometimes by going old school: Why startup brands are increasingly flocking to this Midwestern department store. Spotify is a ripoff for recording artists, so it’s back to vinyl. Surveillance ad platforms are a ripoff, so it’s back to…the mall?)
I still don’t think that a surveillance advertising ban is realistically possible in the current political climate, but when it happens it will be a one-time cash cheat code for the whole economy. By the time a jurisdiction realizes that a ban is necessary, the hard part will be timing it so that all the interested political parties or factions can get a piece of the credit for the resulting good news in the statistics.
More: advertising personalization: good for you?
Bonus links
DeepSeek
outperforms AI rivals in ‘real money, real market’ crypto showdown
by Vincent Chow. (Studies like this really need to include the
proverbial monkey with a dartboard
trading strategy, too.)
I’m
drowning in AI features I never asked for and I hate it by Raghav
Sethi. Every update now seems to revolve around AI, even if it means
breaking what already worked.
The
hot new trend in marketing: hating on AI by Lara O’Reilly and Jordan
Hart. A Pew Research study published in September found that 50% of
Americans were more concerned than excited about the increased use of AI
in daily life, up from 37% in 2021.
(at least somebody is reading
the room)
Publishers,
chasing revenue at all costs is costing you by Rob Beeler. The
catch is that when we tell our programmatic teams to
Just get more
revenue, I don’t need to know how,
we’re poisoning our own well as
publishers. You flood the market, you train buyers to pay less, you
chase every possible dollar, you strip away your own leverage, and (at
some point) you dig yourself a hole so deep you can’t dig your way
out.