30 Dec 2019 Search

our publications

A market for trading software issues | Journal of Cybersecurity

Marktplatz zur Koordinierung und Finanzierung von Open Source Software by Georg J. P. Link, Malvika Rao, Don Marti, Andy Leak and Rich Bodo

A trading market to incentivize secure software: Malvika Rao, Georg Link, Don Marti, Andy Leak & Rich Bodo (PDF) (presented at WEIS 2018)

references

Corporate Prediction Markets: Evidence from Google, Ford, and Firm X (PDF) by Bo Cowgill and Eric Zitzewitz.

Despite theoretically adverse conditions, we find these markets are relatively efficient, and improve upon the forecasts of experts at all three firms by as much as a 25% reduction in mean squared error.

(This paper covers a related market type, not bug futures. However some of the material about interactions of market data and corporate management could also turn out to be relevant to bug futures markets.)